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Developing a Plan to Cope with Covid-19

Updated: 7 days ago

Any plan for coping with dangers to our society needs to assess the relative harm of the danger and the relative harms and benefits of our response.


The Harm and Potential Harm of Covid-19 in Canada and BC.


Top 10 Causes of death in Canada in 2017 (Stats Canada)


Malignant neoplasms (cancer) 79,844

Diseases of the heart 53,029

Accidents 13,894

Cerebrovascular diseases (stroke, etc.) 13,893

Chronic lower respiratory diseases (diseases of the lungs) 12,847

Influenza & pneumonia 7,396

Diabetes 6,882

Alzheimer’s Disease 6,675

Suicides 4,157

Chronic liver disease 3,245

Coronavirus Deaths in Canada (Sept 30, 2020) 9,297

Projected mortality rate for all of 2020 13,946

Coronavirus Deaths in BC (1/5th the Canada’s death rate) 234

Mortality rate adjusted to include all of 2020 (x 12/8) 351

If BC’s population was the same as all of Canada (x 7.4) 2,597


As the above figures indicate, Covid 19 does not make it in the list of top 10 causes of death in BC.

That is because BC Covid mortality rate is much lower than the national average. The covid mortality rate in BC as of (Sept. 30th )is 45.8/million. The mortality rate from covid in the rest of Canada is 240/million. In other words, BC’s covid mortality rate is less than 1/5th of the rest of Canada. It is clear that the harm caused by covid-19 to BC residents is not nearly as serious as our media suggests.


Potential Harm of Covid-19


Evidence also indicates that the future harm of covid will diminish. Viral epidemics normally peter out after awhile. Two of the most important factors are herd immunity and mutations. When a large enough proportion of the population becomes immune to the virus it runs out of people who will replicate it and it dies out. That is called herd immunity


A second factor, not talked about as often is that viruses normally mutate into less lethal viruses. Mutation happens when the information in the RNA becomes corrupted. As all software engineers know, corrupted programs are either ineffective or occasionally they work but are less effective. At this point, (Oct 2020) Sars Covid-2 has mutated hundreds of times and we should expect that many of these mutations are less effective and less dangerous. Computer programs that have become corrupted may become corrupted again, but the additional corruption never makes it more effective. Such is the case with viruses. (There is one exception--if the mutation causes the virus to replicate itself more readily. That does not make it more lethal, just causes it to spread faster. If that happens, it will actually shorten the life of the epidemic because it causes more infections which lead to more herd immunity and more mutations, which cause the virus to weaken more quickly.)

This weakening of the virus seems to be happening in Europe, as well as in Canada. In both Europe and Canada, the number of cases is increasing, but the deaths are decreasing. In Canada between February 2020 and the 12th of September, there were 9,170 deaths from Covid, an average of 41 deaths/day. From September 13 to October 6 there were only 341 deaths or 12.6 deaths/day despite there being an increase in the number of cases. From October 6 until October 30, there have been 298 deaths from covid or 12.4 deaths/day.

Only about one third as many deaths? Why? Now that we are into fall, the death rate should be climbing, but it isn't. Undoubtedly the normal cycle of viral epidemics is taking place. The epidemic is petering out because of herd immunity and multiple mutations.

Another reason is that people are learning to deal with it more effectively. Hundreds of articles are disseminating information about strengthening our immune systems and using natural means to kill viruses—articles about vitamin D, NAC, quercetin, immune boosters such as zinc, vitamin A & C, etc.


All of these factors contribute to the reduced potential harm for Canadians and especially residents of BC.


I suspect that the death rate in the U.S. is similar, but their hospitals are awarded an extra $10,000/patient who dies from covid, so we should expect that the published numbers to be inflated. The published deaths/million in the U.S. is 689 d/m, while in Canada, it is only 261.

Harm Caused by our Response to Covid


When responding to a potential danger to our society, we need to do a cost benefit analysis--make sure that our response does not cause more harm than the disease itself. It seems that this has not been carefully thought through before we started shutting things down. According to actuarial tables, every $10-24 million lost in U.S. income, results in one death. Therefore, we can expect that the number of deaths from the shutdown by now far exceed the number of deaths by covid. For example, in Canada, the lockdown resulted in thousands of cancer screenings and biopsies either cancelled or the patients afraid to come in for the procedure. This has resulted in a five year backlog. That means that from now until the foreseeable future, someone with cancer will have to wait years before he or she can even be diagnosed. Since cancer deaths far exceed covid deaths, this was a huge mistake. There also has been an increase in suicides and drug overdoses. Emergency departments are reporting an increase in child abuse cases. We also need to consider the loneliness and depression of seniors who have lost contact with their families. All of this makes it abundantly clear that the number of deaths caused by our unwise response to covid has caused vastly more deaths and more harm than the disease itself.

Our response has also greatly increased harm in other areas. Children’s schooling has also been disrupted. The ironic thing is that children are virtually immune to Covid-19. Even if they do get it, they do not pass it on to others. We have also, and we continue to destroy many people's livelihood and the businesses most effective are the small family business that people have spent years building up. Thousands of people's dreams have been destroyed by our unwise response to this disease. This has also caused loneliness, depression and anxiety. I had a cousin in a care home who could not have any visitors since March. Last month he died. His reason to live and his sense of hope was taken away from him. Many more are still suffering with that isolation and loss of meaning, especially seniors who are isolated from family, friends and the things in life that really matter to them. Yes, our response to the virus has not only brought about more deaths than the virus itself, but it has caused untold suffering and loss.


Potential Harm of Covid-19


Evidence also indicates that the future harm of covid will diminish. Viral epidemics normally peter out after awhile. Two of the most important factors are herd immunity and mutations. When a large enough proportion of the population becomes immune to the virus it runs out of people who will replicate it and it dies out. That is called herd immunity

A second factor, not talked about as often is that viruses normally mutate into less lethal viruses. Mutation happens when the information in the RNA becomes corrupted. As all software engineers know, corrupted programs are either ineffective or occasionally they work but are less effective. At this point, (Oct 2020) Sars Covid-2 has mutated hundreds of times and we should expect that many of these mutations are less effective and less dangerous. Computer programs that have become corrupted may become corrupted again, but the additional corruption never makes it more effective. Such is the case with viruses.


This weakening of the virus seems to be happening in Europe, as well as in Canada. In both Europe and Canada, the number of cases is increasing, but the deaths are decreasing. In Canada between February 2020 and the 12th of September, there were 9,170 deaths from Covid, an average of 41 deaths/day. From September 13 to October 6 there have been only 356 deaths or slightly less than 15 deaths/day despite there being an increase in the number of cases.


Only about one third as many deaths? Why? Undoubtedly the normal cycle of viral epidemics is taking place. The epidemic is petering out because of herd immunity and multiple mutations.


Another reason is that people are learning to deal with it more effectively. Hundreds of articles are disseminating information about strengthening our immune systems and using natural means to kill viruses—articles about vitamin D, NAC, quercetin and immune boosters such as zinc, vitamin A & C, etc.

People with weakened immune systems are also learning to self-isolate.


All of these factors contribute to the reduced potential harm for Canadians and especially residents of BC. I suspect that the death rate in the U.S. is similar, but their hospitals are awarded an extra $10,000/patient who dies from covid, so their numbers are likely skewed.

What our Response Needs to Be


We need a response that minimizes the harm caused by the disease and adds as little harm to our citizens as possible. What should that be?


1. Help our citizens to bolster their immune systems.

There are two ways available to everyone to bolster their immune systems. First of all they support their immune system with adequate nutrition: Vitamin D, A, C, zinc and NAC. Secondly teach them to use herbs that further bolster the immune system such as echinacea, oil of oregano, and reishi mushroom.


2. Protect those who are most vulnerable. (isolating, disinfecting, hand washing, etc)


3. Make cures available for those who experience serious symptoms.

There are a number of effective cures that are being used around the world, but not in Canada and the U.S.--ivermectin, chlorine dioxide, hydroxychloroquin and quercetin.

4. Turn down the rhetoric that is creating all the panic.

Assessing the relative danger of this virus needs to include assessing its danger relative to other dangers in our lives. In BC, it is not one of the top ten causes of mortality. If we were to educate people about building up their immune systems and if we were to use the cures that work in other parts of the world, it would be even less dangerous.

The point of all of this is that Covid-19 is less danger than the top causes of death in our society and therefore, we need to eliminate the regulations that multiply the harm and start promoting the things that help our bodies fight it.

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